Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.030775 0.036016 0.041796 0.048634 0.056489 0.065219 0.075644
2025-06-29 0.021790 0.028279 0.036124 0.046262 0.058966 0.074305 0.094173
2025-07-06 0.016413 0.023349 0.032440 0.045124 0.062247 0.084423 0.115159
2025-07-13 0.013784 0.021252 0.031749 0.047393 0.069887 0.100781 0.146079
2025-07-20 0.011651 0.019327 0.030822 0.048993 0.076620 0.116568 0.178073
2025-07-27 0.009383 0.016693 0.028316 0.047739 0.078843 0.126007 0.201945
2025-08-03 0.007790 0.014786 0.026545 0.047212 0.081904 0.136800 0.228782
2025-08-10 0.006366 0.012865 0.024385 0.045632 0.082920 0.144330 0.251125
2025-08-17 0.005296 0.011359 0.022659 0.044465 0.084343 0.152489 0.275109
2025-08-24 0.004581 0.010385 0.021713 0.044496 0.087759 0.164196 0.306017
2025-08-31 0.003856 0.009239 0.020243 0.043301 0.088733 0.171662 0.330189
2025-09-07 0.003563 0.008955 0.020423 0.045304 0.095887 0.190789 0.376793
2025-09-14 0.003105 0.008223 0.019590 0.045205 0.099069 0.203148 0.412665
2025-09-21 0.002623 0.007335 0.018274 0.043900 0.099671 0.210696 0.440292
2025-09-28 0.002264 0.006668 0.017340 0.043276 0.101579 0.220936 0.474046
2025-10-05 0.002139 0.006583 0.017742 0.045705 0.110275 0.245546 0.538389
2025-10-12 0.001982 0.006377 0.017817 0.047382 0.117504 0.267815 0.599949
2025-10-19 0.001703 0.005766 0.016777 0.046229 0.118208 0.276477 0.634209
2025-10-26 0.001495 0.005310 0.016055 0.045751 0.120391 0.288471 0.676486
2025-11-02 0.001275 0.004763 0.014991 0.044232 0.119895 0.294509 0.706432
2025-11-09 0.001100 0.004318 0.014129 0.043105 0.120199 0.302325 0.740897
2025-11-16 0.000985 0.004047 0.013718 0.043139 0.123404 0.317045 0.792013
2025-11-23 0.000851 0.003672 0.012925 0.041980 0.123388 0.324205 0.826446